ooh, Rex Murphy! I'll have to check it out. My take is that it's a "body of work" award, and, yes, it's his plays that have the merit (poetry? he's written poetry?? gah, I didn't even know that...) But I would suspect that his political views didn't hurt, either. The Nobel choices are always a bit ... well let's say that literary merit doesn't always seem to be the TOP criterion.
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